A confluence of headlines outlining
dangers to the Canadian economy have a common thread. We read about
high levels of household debt, families under stress due to
unemployment, stresses on schools dealing with children living with
stress at home, and declining birth rates leading to worries about
who is going to power the economic engine when seniors retire.
The common thread is that more than
ever, it takes two full-time incomes just to keep the roof over our
collective heads. Signing trade deals, building pipelines or pushing
debt-funded infrastructure projects will not be able to fix this.
Not when taxes eat up half of a
two-income family's pay, and certainly not when paying for child care
eats up another 22 per cent, as a recent OECD
study has shown.
Why does the government need to tighten
regulations on mortgages? Because young families can get in over
their heads on their mortgages, should interest rates rise someday —
which, eventually, they will.
I've lived through this. During a
period of rapid, inflationary growth, a generational surge occurred
in the 1970s, with thousands of new families being formed and having
kids.
We were giving birth to Generation X,
and we wanted to raise our kids in a house. A starter home cost a bit
more than double the median salary of a single worker, and was rising
quickly. Today, that cost can reach — or in some
cities, surpass —10 times the Canadian median income.
In the late 70's, mortgage rates spiked
to 20 per cent and more, and even though most mortgages totalled less
than $75,000, young families found themselves in over their heads.
The numbers have changed, but that same
potential appears likely today.
When our family started having
children, we made it possible to survive on one income. That was
because after paying taxes on a second income, plus child care costs,
the second bread winner got very little bread for her labour. (Then
as now, most stay-at-home parents were females.)
Today, I can't see how everyday working
families could possibly keep home and family on one regular income. The
cost of a (new, more restricted) mortgage isn't the only reason for this.
It's the cost of child care.
According to the Organization for
Economic Co-operation and Development, Canadian families pay more for
child care than just about anyone in the developed world — up to 22
per cent of family income. The Trudeau government's much-vaunted
family support program barely touches those costs.
If a second working spouse essentially
works for no take-home pay, what's the incentive to work? If the
desperate need for cash flow forces the need for a second income
anyway, what value is that labour to the economy?
Not only is there a disincentive to
work (and pay taxes), there is also a disincentive for educated
families to have children. If populations cannot be sustained by
natural growth, and if we cannot pass our culture on to a
sufficiently large next generation, what changes can we expect in our
national makeup?
Almost all other nations in the OECD
solve this dilemma with generously subsidized child care — costing
10 per cent or less of family income in many countries.
If two incomes are required for a
Canadian family today, and if a nation wants to collect the benefits
of educating women into well-trained career paths, it makes sense to
subsidize quality child care for them.
Would we rather tell women not to
bother getting a good education because their labour will only be
eaten up by student debt, taxes and child care costs? Would we rather
see families default on mortgages in large numbers, or see the costs
of our own homes plummet as fewer and fewer young families can afford
to buy a home? Would we rather signal to young people that having
children is too much of a burden? Would we rather rely on immigration
alone for a stable population?
It seems the cheapest alternative is
the one chosen by almost all other developed economies:
nationally-subsidized child care.
We're always told that our people are
our greatest resource. But in Canada, half of our family-producing
population seems only to be a resource for governments, banks and day
care operators.
In my retirement, I've become a
grandparent day home operator. It's a lot of work for the money (yes,
I'm being paid). But the pay is substantially less than what regular
daycare for three children would cost.
Not every young working family has that
alternative available. And I can't see how our federal government
believes its new national support plan for young families fills any
gap at all.
That unfilled gap — as much as the
lack of a new pipeline, or a trade deal with Europe or infrastructure
projects that never seem to materialize (though we pay for the debt
with our taxes) — is what is holding back growth in our economy.
We're not making best use of our best
resource: our young people.
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