With but three months to go before a
national referendum on independence, Scotland is turning to its youth
for leadership.
Residents as young as 16 can vote in
the Sept. 18 national referendum on whether Scotland should become an
independent nation. At present, polls suggest the No side has the
lead, but both sides are claiming a strong turnout by voters 16-24
years old could seal them a victory.
That age range represents 12 per cent
of the country's population, so a decided swing in the vote among
that group could swing the referendum outcome as a whole. If they
actually decide to vote.
It will also be the first time people
that young will have voting rights in the United Kingdom.
That aspect of this race makes the
Scotts' referendum worth watching, never mind the prospect of seeing
the world peacefully create a new country.
Convincing young people that exercising
their democratic right is worth the effort has gotten more difficult
in recent years. Even with the rise in popularity of social media and
its use by political parties in campaigns, young people seem to get
turned off when the discussion moves from celebrity gossip to current
events.
But when relevance rises, so does
participation.
Student protests over tuition fees in
Quebec drove young adult participation in Quebec's 2012 election to
62 per cent (it was 36 per cent in the previous election in 2008).
Organizers are hoping that a similar connection can be made for youth
in Scotland in September.
The clincher, it seems, is to convince
people that they have a personal stake in the outcome of a vote, and
that their input matters. But shouldn't that be the case for all
people, in all campaigns?
It shouldn't take much effort to
convince people that one's national identity is important —
especially at those moments in history when you get to choose what it
will be.
But surveys of young people show that
in Scotland, people aged 15-17 are quite able to imagine the
consequences of the vote, and that rhetoric alone will not be enough
to gain their support.
Carrington-Dean is a Glasgow-based
financial group that provides advice to personal and corporate
clients. They're the largest independent group in Scotland that
people turn to when they get into debt trouble, for instance.
Their poll, taken in May, shows that
young people are quite capable of looking into their own futures, and
questioning the outcomes of large questions.
Almost two-thirds of more than 1,000
15-to-17 year-olds said they worried about their country's economic
outlook. An equal portion also worried about their families falling
into debt. Just over half worried they themselves might fall into
debt.
When the questions were taken a step
deeper, the results got more complex, indicating the people taking
the survey are quite able to connect the dots between Scotland's
independence, and their own futures.
The answers suggest they're not sure,
and are questioning what they're being told.
About 41 per cent said they believed
their families would be worse off in an independent Scotland, versus
21 per cent who believed they'd be better off. A smaller minority —
39 per cent thought they themselves would be worse off, versus 25 per
cent who thought they as individuals would prosper better in an
independent country. Being unsure is a good response, if it means one
is looking to become more sure.
That should have lessons for the rest
of the world.
Perhaps today's youth are not the
entirely self-absorbed and personally entitled group they are often
characterized to be. Maybe the superior educations and opportunities
we've given them have indeed led them to a maturity that we've hoped
they would grow into.
If youth as young as 16 can be trusted
with helping to decide a national future in a referendum, maybe we
can trust them with referenda on other long-future topics as well.
Should British Columbia call for a
referendum on allowing the Northern Gateway pipeline to cross their
province — and don't believe that question isn't likely — perhaps
16 year-olds should have a say in the outcome.
That's only one question that pops into
mind.
A city council like Red Deer's,
interested as it is in public consultation, could easily think of
several others.
We've invested a lot in our youth. If
they — like anyone else — can be convinced they have a stake in
the outcome of questions, and that their input matters, why not trust
them with a share of power over the answers to questions of the day?
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