Back
in 1962, when the Cuban Missile Crisis pushed the world to the brink
of nuclear war, Canadian prime minister John Diefenbaker, and U.S.
president John F. Kennedy, were not getting along.
Diefenbaker
viewed Kennedy as arrogant, JFK saw Dief as dithering and
uncommitted.
So
when Canada failed to ramp its military to high alert in lockstep
with the Americans, the quote was created in the White House that
Canada was willing to give America “all aid short of help,” when
the going got tough with the Russians.
That
crisis passed, and years later the Cold War ended. But once again the
world is dealing with an aggressive, expansionist Russia. Armed
Russian insurgents staged-managed the annexation of Crimea, and
others created unrest in the eastern sections of the country, to
destabilize Ukraine's elections coming this weekend.
This
time, in this current crisis, Canada is far from alone in standing up
to Russian aggression armed with news reports and sound bites.
Along
with Europe and the U.S., we will bring Russian president Vladimir
Putin to heel with economic sanctions. Foreign assets owned by a list
of Russian businesses have been frozen, and travel bans have been
imposed on individuals close to Putin, to stop the inflow of money
that it takes to mobilize an armed piecemeal annexing Ukraine.
Sort
of. Nobody really wants to poke the Russian bear, at least not too
hard. In a world economy that is far more integrated than it was in
the Cold War, it's difficult to freeze out an economic giant without
shooting your own economy in the foot.
Especially
for those parts of Europe that get their natural gas from Russia.
But
Visa and Mastercard accounts issued by Bank Rossiya were blocked, for
one thing. Cardholders could only access their money at bank ATMs,
leading to long lineups and mass conversions of foreign accounts back
into roubles.
Boston
Univeristy professor Alya Guseva explained in an interview with online publication Professor Voices that those sanctions do indeed hurt. Only someone with insight into Vlad Putin's brain can tells if they will change his behaviour, but for now, that seems unlikely.
Before this weekend, he announced that troops massed on Ukraine's borders will be withdrawn, in a step to reduce tensions in advance of the Ukraine elections.
But NATO announced over the weekend that no movement has yet occurred. The first casualty of any public relations war is indeed the truth.
That's
why some people are saying economic sanctions should be stepped up.
Canada,
ever the willing provider of aid, has left out at least three
prominent Putin associates from the sanctions list.
CBC
News reports that while
the United States has sanctioned Sergey Chemezov, who runs industrial
and military corporation Rostec, and Igor Sechin, CEO of oil company
Rosneft, the two have not been banned from travelling to Canada or
had their assets frozen. CBC says both are reported to have
significant business ties to Canada.
For
instance, Rosneft owns 30 per cent of a major oilfield in Alberta,
along with Exxon Mobil.
Rostec
has close ties with Bombardier, with a joint venture lined up to
build 100 short-haul aircraft in Russia, for Russian use.
Meanwhile,
Vladmir Yakunen, president of Russian Railways, is persona non grata
in the U.S. but is still welcome in Canada.
A
few months ago, these connections were all positive things. It's hard
now to make them negative. Not without paying a price. And Canada
seems to be dithering on the price.
From
this perspective, it does not appear Canada enjoys the same “honest
broker” global reputation it built during the Pearson and
Diefenbaker era. “All aid short of help,” seems closer to the
truth.
Our
government seems willing to talk tough for the folks at home. But we
will never stand up to a determined Russia, if we cannot even stand
up to the lobbyists that got their employers' interests excluded from
the sanctions list.
What
price is democracy in Ukraine worth to Canadians? Is is worth risking
a slowdown of oil development in Alberta? Is it worth a drop in the
share price of Bombardier or other Canadian firms with international
interests?
We
cannot cannot guarantee that the world will be made more safe, by
always playing it safe, and letting others take the risks.
Follow
Greg Neiman's blog at Readersadvocate.blogspot.ca
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